Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/12 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+92.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 24,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +57.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +7.9 | -2.4 | -4.4 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,900 | 30% | 22% | 22% | 25% | +9.8 | -3.6 | -1.9 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 38% | 20% | 20% | 22% | +21.0 | -4.5 | -7.3 | -9.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 14% | 14% | 15% | -3.0 | +3.4 | -1.7 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 54% | 17% | 13% | 16% | -0.1 | -2.0 | +22.1 | -20.0 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 18,000 from Yudai Maehara | 53% | 14% | 25% | 8% | -9.7 | -2.2 | +42.6 | -30.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 32% | 8% | 59% | 1% | -5.7 | -1.1 | +22.1 | -15.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 4% | 80% | 0% | -5.6 | -4.2 | +11.7 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 9% | 2% | 89% | 0% | +14.6 | -1.2 | -2.1 | -11.3 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 1% | 85% | 0% | +2.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 24,000 from Go Kobayashi | 14% | 1% | 85% | 0% | +57.8 | +0.9 | -59.3 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 93% | 1% | 6% | 0% | -2.7 | -1.2 | +1.7 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 7,800 | 93% | 1% | 6% | 0% | -2.9 | +10.5 | -4.5 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 92% | 2% | 6% | 0% | +8.1 | -0.4 | -8.4 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Yudai Maehara | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | -0.3 | -1.8 | +4.7 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | +1.4 | -10.6 | +0.7 | +8.4 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Yudai Maehara | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 | +0.4 | +2.4 | -2.8 |