Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/12 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+92.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 24,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +57.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +7.4 | -1.9 | -3.9 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,900 | 31% | 24% | 23% | 22% | +10.5 | -3.6 | -2.7 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 40% | 21% | 20% | 20% | +18.9 | -6.1 | -7.3 | -5.5 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 56% | 16% | 14% | 15% | -2.5 | +2.7 | -0.4 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 54% | 16% | 14% | 16% | -2.0 | -0.4 | +21.0 | -18.7 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 18,000 from Maehara Yudai | 52% | 14% | 25% | 9% | -8.1 | -2.4 | +41.9 | -31.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 32% | 9% | 58% | 1% | -6.8 | -1.3 | +22.3 | -14.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 5% | 79% | 0% | -5.5 | -4.7 | +13.9 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 8% | 1% | 91% | 0% | +15.4 | -0.9 | -3.5 | -11.0 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 1% | 85% | 0% | +2.6 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 24,000 from Kobayashi Go | 14% | 1% | 85% | 0% | +57.0 | +1.6 | -58.8 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 93% | 1% | 6% | 0% | -2.9 | -0.9 | +0.9 | +2.9 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 7,800 | 93% | 1% | 6% | 0% | -3.1 | +10.3 | -3.8 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 91% | 2% | 7% | 0% | +8.7 | -0.4 | -9.2 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Maehara Yudai | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | +0.2 | -1.3 | +4.7 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | +0.8 | -11.0 | +1.4 | +8.8 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Maehara Yudai | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.2 | +0.2 | +2.1 | -2.5 |