Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/15 Game 1
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+90.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +5.6 | -1.3 | -3.3 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | -10.6 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +10.2 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 21% | 24% | 23% | 33% | +0.3 | +30.7 | -0.9 | -30.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 47% | 21% | 13% | -13.7 | +38.7 | -12.7 | -12.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 6% | 83% | 7% | 4% | +30.6 | -26.5 | -2.3 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 57% | 10% | 7% | -2.7 | -0.7 | +5.0 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 56% | 13% | 6% | -1.2 | -2.7 | +9.6 | -5.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 25% | 53% | 18% | 4% | +5.3 | -31.4 | -1.9 | +28.0 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 27% | 20% | 18% | -8.7 | +30.3 | -6.5 | -15.2 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 16,000 | 24% | 57% | 12% | 7% | -20.9 | +34.2 | -6.5 | -6.7 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 2% | 93% | 4% | 2% | -26.3 | +14.1 | +6.8 | +5.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -1.6 | -2.0 | +0.2 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -4.0 | -0.2 | +3.4 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -3.8 | +0.5 | -0.6 | +3.9 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -3.6 | +8.4 | +7.1 | -11.9 |