Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/15 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+90.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Maehara Yudai tsumo 18,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +6.7 | -4.3 | +0.4 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 28% | 22% | 26% | 24% | -13.3 | +1.9 | +1.7 | +9.7 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 24% | 25% | 31% | +0.6 | +31.0 | -2.8 | -28.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 46% | 22% | 13% | -11.7 | +37.8 | -13.9 | -12.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 6% | 82% | 8% | 5% | +28.3 | -25.4 | -2.0 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 25% | 57% | 10% | 8% | -0.1 | -2.3 | +5.0 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 56% | 12% | 6% | -3.4 | -2.8 | +9.7 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 24% | 53% | 17% | 6% | +5.8 | -29.6 | -2.2 | +26.0 |
| East 4 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 28% | 20% | 17% | -8.3 | +28.5 | -4.2 | -16.0 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 55% | 15% | 8% | -21.3 | +35.9 | -8.4 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 1% | 94% | 3% | 1% | -25.4 | +13.6 | +6.3 | +5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -2.8 | -2.4 | +1.6 | +3.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -1.9 | +0.2 | +2.0 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | -6.1 | +0.4 | -0.4 | +6.2 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -2.6 | +8.5 | +7.3 | -13.1 |