Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/15 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +69.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +0.3 | +19.6 | -22.0 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 38% | 13% | 26% | -3.3 | -0.5 | -1.4 | +5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000 | 20% | 37% | 13% | 30% | -21.0 | -24.5 | +69.0 | -23.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 8% | 14% | 66% | 12% | -3.5 | +0.5 | -5.8 | +8.8 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 5,800 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 7% | 15% | 61% | 18% | -1.9 | -14.7 | -0.9 | +17.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda | 6% | 9% | 57% | 27% | +1.1 | -1.1 | -23.5 | +23.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 10% | 31% | 51% | -2.9 | +2.2 | -2.9 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 9% | 27% | 56% | -1.5 | -0.2 | -3.8 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 9% | 24% | 62% | +13.2 | -6.8 | -1.3 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 10% | 8% | 24% | 59% | -6.3 | +7.4 | -5.7 | +4.5 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 5% | 10% | 18% | 67% | -0.2 | -4.5 | -4.2 | +8.8 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 3% | 3% | 13% | 81% | -25.2 | +1.3 | +31.7 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 36% | 62% | -1.5 | +1.7 | +4.4 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 4,800 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 2% | 44% | 53% | -0.7 | -0.2 | +23.0 | -22.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 1% | 82% | 17% | +4.9 | +0.8 | +3.1 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -2.2 | -5.6 | +9.1 | -1.3 |