Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/15 Game 2

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +69.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Sonoda Ken● Shiratori Sho● Ishibashi Nobuhiro● Maehara Yudai0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Sonoda● Shiratori● Ishibashi● Maehara
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Maehara Yudai
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Maehara Yudai
Expected pt change
East 1Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken26%24%25%25%-2.9+21.5-19.8+1.3
East 2Draw21%39%14%26%-1.1-4.2-1.3+6.6
East 3, 1 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 24,00021%35%14%30%-20.2-23.9+69.1-24.9
East 3, 2 honbaMaehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken8%13%68%12%-4.9+4.6-8.2+8.5
East 4Maehara Yudai ron 5,800 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro7%17%60%16%-0.6-16.8-1.5+18.9
East 4, 1 honbaMaehara Yudai ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken7%9%57%27%-1.1+0.1-22.7+23.7
East 4, 2 honbaDraw8%10%31%52%-2.5+2.6-3.5+3.4
East 4, 3 honbaDraw6%11%28%55%-0.5-1.3-2.8+4.6
East 4, 4 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 4,0005%10%25%60%+14.8-8.7-2.0-4.1
South 1Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken11%6%25%58%-7.0+9.2-6.4+4.2
South 2Maehara Yudai ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken5%10%17%67%-2.9-4.5-2.1+9.5
South 3Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho3%3%13%82%-23.9+0.9+31.5-8.5
South 3, 1 honbaDraw0%1%37%62%-1.0+2.8+3.3-5.1
South 3, 2 honbaSonoda Ken ron 4,800 from Maehara Yudai0%4%44%52%-1.1-0.9+23.6-21.7
South 3, 3 honbaShiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai0%1%82%17%+5.40.0+3.1-8.5
South 4Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro0%0%92%8%-2.4-5.4+9.0-1.2

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)