Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/15 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +69.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.9 | +21.5 | -19.8 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 39% | 14% | 26% | -1.1 | -4.2 | -1.3 | +6.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000 | 21% | 35% | 14% | 30% | -20.2 | -23.9 | +69.1 | -24.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 8% | 13% | 68% | 12% | -4.9 | +4.6 | -8.2 | +8.5 |
| East 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 5,800 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 7% | 17% | 60% | 16% | -0.6 | -16.8 | -1.5 | +18.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 7% | 9% | 57% | 27% | -1.1 | +0.1 | -22.7 | +23.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 10% | 31% | 52% | -2.5 | +2.6 | -3.5 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 6% | 11% | 28% | 55% | -0.5 | -1.3 | -2.8 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 10% | 25% | 60% | +14.8 | -8.7 | -2.0 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 11% | 6% | 25% | 58% | -7.0 | +9.2 | -6.4 | +4.2 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 5% | 10% | 17% | 67% | -2.9 | -4.5 | -2.1 | +9.5 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 3% | 3% | 13% | 82% | -23.9 | +0.9 | +31.5 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 37% | 62% | -1.0 | +2.8 | +3.3 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 4,800 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 4% | 44% | 52% | -1.1 | -0.9 | +23.6 | -21.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 1% | 82% | 17% | +5.4 | 0.0 | +3.1 | -8.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -2.4 | -5.4 | +9.0 | -1.2 |