Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/16 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+74.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +57.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000 | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +57.7 | -19.0 | -18.9 | -19.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 11% | 9% | 9% | -1.0 | -5.0 | +2.8 | +3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 72% | 7% | 10% | 10% | +16.3 | +0.1 | +0.9 | -17.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 3% | 6% | 3% | +2.3 | +0.3 | -2.9 | +0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 91% | 2% | 4% | 3% | +0.7 | +0.3 | +10.5 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 2% | 4% | 1% | +4.4 | -0.2 | -3.0 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 95% | 2% | 2% | 1% | -0.9 | -18.1 | +3.4 | +15.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 96% | 1% | 3% | 1% | +0.5 | -12.9 | +12.1 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 96% | 0% | 3% | 1% | -1.9 | -7.6 | -21.8 | +31.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -3.1 | +1.6 | +2.1 | -0.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +1.0 | -8.5 | +25.1 | -17.5 |