Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/16 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+74.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +54.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +54.6 | -19.0 | -19.1 | -16.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 71% | 9% | 9% | 11% | -1.9 | -3.4 | +1.9 | +3.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 71% | 8% | 10% | 11% | +17.9 | -0.9 | +0.2 | -17.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 88% | 4% | 5% | 3% | +2.4 | -0.2 | -1.3 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 92% | 3% | 3% | 2% | +1.3 | +0.7 | +10.6 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 94% | 2% | 3% | 1% | +3.1 | -1.9 | 0.0 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 95% | 1% | 4% | 1% | -0.5 | -15.8 | +0.1 | +16.1 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0.0 | -13.6 | +12.4 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 95% | 0% | 4% | 1% | -1.3 | -7.4 | -21.8 | +30.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -3.1 | +0.8 | +2.8 | -0.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +0.8 | -8.0 | +24.7 | -17.5 |