Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/18 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.4 | +1.0 | -2.8 | +7.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 20% | 26% | 23% | 30% | +4.1 | -6.7 | +9.0 | -6.3 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 20% | 29% | 26% | -4.3 | -2.2 | +8.6 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 21% | 19% | 36% | 24% | -0.5 | +26.5 | -25.6 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 39% | 17% | 23% | +37.6 | -7.5 | -8.0 | -22.1 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 27% | 12% | 10% | -8.9 | -3.0 | -4.6 | +16.6 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 44% | 26% | 11% | 18% | +20.7 | -11.4 | -7.3 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 9% | 7% | 12% | -10.1 | -11.6 | -18.6 | +40.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 3% | 0% | 45% | +2.9 | -3.3 | -1.6 | +2.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 2% | 0% | 45% | -9.0 | -1.3 | +1.9 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 35% | 2% | 0% | 63% | -42.0 | +30.3 | -1.9 | +13.7 |