Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/18 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +42.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 27% | 24% | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.6 | +7.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 22% | 21% | 26% | 31% | -0.8 | 0.0 | +7.5 | -6.7 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000 | 20% | 22% | 32% | 26% | +1.1 | -4.8 | +6.6 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 23% | 17% | 36% | 24% | -1.0 | +27.6 | -24.9 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 40% | 17% | 23% | +37.1 | -10.9 | -8.2 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 53% | 26% | 11% | 11% | -6.4 | -3.7 | -3.9 | +14.0 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 49% | 23% | 11% | 17% | +16.7 | -7.6 | -6.6 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 10% | 7% | 12% | -9.3 | -13.3 | -19.4 | +42.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 52% | 3% | 0% | 45% | +1.8 | -2.6 | -1.6 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 52% | 2% | 0% | 46% | -8.0 | -1.9 | +1.5 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 35% | 2% | 0% | 63% | -42.3 | +30.7 | -1.8 | +13.4 |