Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/19 Game 1

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +24.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Nikaido Aki● Uotani Yuumi● Murakami Jun0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Nikaido● Uotani● Murakami
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Murakami Jun
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Murakami Jun
Expected pt change
East 1Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki26%26%23%26%-2.3-2.7+6.3-1.3
East 2Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun24%23%28%25%+13.1-2.5+2.5-13.1
East 3Draw35%20%29%16%-5.2+5.4-8.1+7.8
East 4, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 1,10029%25%23%23%-0.8-0.5+9.7-8.4
South 1Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki29%24%31%16%+24.5-22.9-0.8-0.8
South 1, 1 honbaNikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi52%10%26%13%+2.1+4.4-7.5+1.0
South 2Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu57%11%19%13%+4.6-3.8-0.6-0.2
South 3Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi65%6%16%13%+5.1-0.9-34.0+29.8
South 4Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun75%3%1%22%+13.1+3.4-8.0-8.6

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)