Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/19 Game 1

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +22.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Aki Nikaido● Yuumi Uotani● Jun Murakami0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Aki● Yuumi● Jun
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Jun Murakami
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Jun Murakami
Expected pt change
East 1Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido25%26%26%24%-2.5-2.2+4.0+0.7
East 2Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami23%24%28%25%+13.7-3.7-0.5-9.6
East 3Exhaustive draw32%21%28%20%-2.6+6.1-6.6+3.1
East 4, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 1,10031%25%22%22%-0.80.0+9.6-8.8
South 1Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido30%25%29%16%+22.9-23.5-0.5+1.0
South 1, 1 honbaAki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani50%10%26%14%+3.4+3.5-6.5-0.4
South 2Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi57%11%20%13%+2.7-5.5+0.4+2.3
South 3Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani63%5%18%14%+7.1+0.1-35.9+28.7
South 4Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami76%2%1%21%+12.5+4.3-7.6-9.2

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)