Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/19 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -3.7 | +0.7 | -0.6 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 24% | 25% | 28% | -2.1 | -12.2 | -4.9 | +19.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 16% | 21% | 43% | -3.4 | +4.5 | +3.4 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 18% | 24% | 39% | -0.8 | +7.4 | -0.9 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 18% | 23% | 23% | 36% | -23.0 | -0.5 | +29.5 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 20% | 47% | 26% | +5.6 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 20% | 46% | 25% | -6.5 | -3.2 | +0.2 | +9.4 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 6,400 from Kondo Seiichi | 5% | 17% | 46% | 33% | +1.0 | -24.6 | +25.8 | -2.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 79% | 19% | +5.4 | -3.9 | +1.3 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 1% | 80% | 17% | -1.7 | -3.7 | -1.4 | +6.8 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 84% | 16% | +5.3 | -6.6 | +8.4 | -7.0 |