Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +0.2 | +0.7 | -6.5 | +5.5 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,700 | 23% | 25% | 22% | 30% | -0.6 | -5.5 | -1.5 | +7.7 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 20% | 21% | 36% | +36.9 | -8.8 | -18.7 | -9.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 55% | 13% | 8% | 24% | +5.1 | -2.6 | +3.5 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 62% | 11% | 9% | 18% | +0.8 | -6.4 | +2.6 | +3.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 61% | 8% | 11% | 20% | +2.9 | +3.0 | +2.1 | -8.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 66% | 10% | 10% | 15% | -0.9 | +19.2 | -5.1 | -13.2 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 68% | 15% | 8% | 9% | +11.1 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -7.8 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 6,400 from Takamiya Mari | 84% | 6% | 5% | 5% | +12.3 | +2.7 | +0.9 | -15.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 98% | 1% | 0% | 2% | +0.8 | +8.0 | +1.6 | -10.4 |