Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -1.8 | +1.1 | -5.7 | +6.4 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,700 | 23% | 24% | 22% | 31% | -0.4 | -6.5 | -2.2 | +9.2 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 19% | 20% | 38% | +36.1 | -6.8 | -19.5 | -9.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 14% | 8% | 26% | +6.0 | -3.1 | +3.5 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 11% | 9% | 19% | +0.5 | -5.5 | +2.5 | +2.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 9% | 9% | 20% | +3.5 | +1.9 | +4.3 | -9.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 66% | 9% | 11% | 14% | -0.5 | +19.3 | -4.3 | -14.6 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 69% | 15% | 9% | 8% | +9.0 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 6,400 from Mari Takamiya | 82% | 7% | 6% | 5% | +13.1 | +2.5 | -1.0 | -14.6 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 97% | 1% | 0% | 2% | +1.3 | +8.4 | +1.6 | -11.4 |