Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/23 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -14.4 | +0.9 | +14.9 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 24% | 35% | 26% | -5.6 | +4.3 | +5.5 | -4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma | 12% | 27% | 40% | 21% | +1.4 | +15.2 | -2.3 | -14.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 36% | 36% | 15% | -9.5 | +31.0 | -13.3 | -8.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 6% | 66% | 20% | 8% | -0.5 | -1.7 | -0.6 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 66% | 19% | 9% | +8.6 | -0.4 | -4.7 | -3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 68% | 15% | 8% | +23.3 | -0.5 | -9.0 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 18% | 68% | 11% | 3% | -5.5 | -8.9 | +15.7 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 59% | 21% | 4% | -4.0 | +1.0 | +5.8 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 11% | 63% | 23% | 4% | +13.3 | -1.9 | -9.8 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 19% | 64% | 14% | 3% | -22.2 | +16.8 | +12.0 | -6.6 |