Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/23 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.7 | -3.5 | +15.5 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 22% | 35% | 26% | -4.6 | +4.6 | +4.6 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 13% | 26% | 39% | 23% | +0.2 | +15.8 | -0.9 | -15.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 35% | 37% | 15% | -8.3 | +33.4 | -15.5 | -9.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 6% | 68% | 19% | 7% | -1.5 | -2.8 | +0.1 | +4.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 5% | 66% | 20% | 9% | +7.6 | -0.1 | -4.1 | -3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 69% | 16% | 8% | +23.0 | -2.6 | -7.1 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 17% | 67% | 13% | 3% | -6.3 | -5.1 | +12.7 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 13% | 63% | 20% | 4% | -1.3 | -1.7 | +5.8 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 12% | 64% | 22% | 3% | +13.6 | -1.7 | -9.8 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Win | 20% | 64% | 14% | 3% | -23.3 | +16.8 | +12.8 | -6.3 |