Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -5.7 | -3.2 | +2.7 | +6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 23% | 27% | 30% | +2.4 | -1.3 | +1.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 21% | 29% | 28% | -2.1 | +28.8 | -2.6 | -24.1 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 19% | 43% | 24% | 14% | +23.6 | 0.0 | -24.4 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 37% | 41% | 10% | 12% | +2.6 | -38.7 | +39.4 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 13% | 35% | 11% | +4.3 | +6.0 | -5.6 | -4.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200 | 46% | 16% | 29% | 9% | -1.5 | -13.0 | +19.5 | -4.9 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Koshin Asakura | 41% | 5% | 49% | 6% | +11.4 | +0.3 | -8.4 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 6,000 | 60% | 2% | 32% | 6% | -6.1 | -12.2 | -3.1 | +21.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori | 53% | 3% | 31% | 13% | -18.2 | -7.7 | +34.4 | -8.6 |