Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -5.2 | -5.1 | +5.0 | +5.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 22% | 29% | 30% | +3.1 | -2.7 | +0.1 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 23% | 21% | 27% | 29% | -3.4 | +30.8 | -5.0 | -22.5 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 19% | 45% | 21% | 15% | +25.0 | +0.9 | -22.1 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 35% | 44% | 10% | 12% | +3.4 | -39.9 | +38.0 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 42% | 14% | 32% | 12% | +4.1 | +3.7 | -4.9 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 14% | 28% | 10% | -2.9 | -10.2 | +20.0 | -6.9 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Asakura Koshin | 40% | 5% | 48% | 6% | +11.1 | -0.5 | -7.0 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 58% | 3% | 34% | 5% | -3.2 | -13.0 | -5.1 | +21.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 56% | 3% | 30% | 12% | -20.2 | -7.0 | +35.1 | -7.9 |