Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+68.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 24,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +55.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -14.7 | +0.2 | +13.7 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 24% | 35% | 25% | -1.0 | -7.4 | -0.4 | +8.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 24,000 | 15% | 19% | 34% | 32% | -17.7 | -16.3 | +55.2 | -21.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 4% | 86% | 8% | -5.0 | +19.7 | -7.7 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 9% | 80% | 8% | -3.7 | -3.4 | +19.3 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 3% | 96% | 1% | -4.1 | +16.1 | -11.1 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 9% | 89% | 2% | +0.9 | +5.6 | +0.4 | -6.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 11% | 88% | 1% | +2.5 | +3.8 | -3.1 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 14% | 84% | 1% | +20.2 | -5.9 | +3.9 | -18.3 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 5% | 94% | 0% | -2.8 | +0.2 | +2.0 | +0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 4% | 95% | 1% | -11.3 | +14.4 | -3.7 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 12% | 88% | 0% | -17.6 | -5.1 | -3.5 | +26.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 10% | 89% | 1% | 0.0 | -4.0 | +3.9 | +0.1 |