Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +26.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +5.6 | -1.0 | -5.5 | +0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 25% | +20.7 | -7.4 | -7.6 | -5.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 45% | 19% | 17% | 20% | +4.0 | -3.1 | -2.4 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 48% | 16% | 15% | 21% | -5.8 | -0.9 | +3.6 | +3.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 43% | 16% | 17% | 24% | +20.3 | -13.8 | -2.8 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 7% | 13% | 17% | -5.5 | -4.8 | -12.6 | +22.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 56% | 5% | 7% | 32% | +4.1 | -1.2 | -0.3 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 62% | 5% | 6% | 27% | -2.0 | -18.1 | +19.2 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 61% | 1% | 11% | 27% | -5.0 | +2.2 | +4.6 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 3% | 15% | 28% | -4.0 | -9.8 | +26.6 | -12.8 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,900 from Murakami Jun | 48% | 0% | 34% | 18% | -4.1 | -0.4 | +13.5 | -9.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 3,900 | 38% | 0% | 51% | 11% | -7.8 | -0.9 | +15.5 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 20% | 0% | 75% | 5% | -6.3 | +3.1 | +21.4 | -18.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 0% | 96% | 1% | -0.7 | -16.3 | +14.6 | +2.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.7 | +10.2 | -10.1 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -3.2 | +36.6 | -3.2 | -30.3 |