Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +24.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 23% | 26% | 27% | +6.1 | -2.7 | -5.3 | +1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 29% | 22% | 21% | 28% | +22.2 | -7.0 | -6.7 | -8.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 17% | 18% | 20% | +1.3 | -1.8 | +0.1 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 15% | 18% | 21% | -2.7 | -3.2 | +1.0 | +4.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 44% | 15% | 18% | 23% | +18.5 | -12.4 | -3.2 | -2.9 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 7% | 12% | 18% | -3.5 | -3.9 | -13.0 | +20.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 5% | 6% | 31% | +1.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 60% | 5% | 7% | 28% | +0.5 | -18.8 | +19.0 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 1% | 11% | 26% | -5.1 | +1.8 | +7.6 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 3% | 17% | 25% | -4.9 | -9.4 | +24.3 | -10.0 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,900 from Jun Murakami | 49% | 0% | 34% | 17% | -5.3 | -0.4 | +13.6 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,900 | 37% | 0% | 52% | 11% | -8.6 | -0.9 | +15.4 | -5.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 19% | 0% | 75% | 6% | -4.5 | +2.9 | +22.2 | -20.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 2% | 0% | 97% | 0% | -1.0 | -15.9 | +13.6 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +0.8 | +9.8 | -10.1 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -3.2 | +36.9 | -3.1 | -30.6 |