Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+86.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 32,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +67.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +32.5 | -10.2 | -13.2 | -9.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 51% | 15% | 16% | 18% | -4.9 | +0.5 | +3.8 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 47% | 16% | 18% | 19% | -0.7 | +5.5 | -2.7 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 46% | 20% | 17% | 17% | -4.2 | +34.8 | -1.3 | -29.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 43% | 12% | 6% | +32.3 | -20.3 | -6.6 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 72% | 17% | 8% | 2% | -3.2 | +6.8 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 69% | 23% | 5% | 3% | +0.5 | -1.3 | +6.1 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 32,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 72% | 20% | 7% | 1% | -26.4 | +67.3 | -53.6 | +12.8 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 8% | 92% | 0% | 0% | -6.9 | +1.9 | +6.0 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 1,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 97% | 0% | 0% | -0.2 | +0.8 | -5.2 | +4.6 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | +1.8 | -0.1 | -1.7 |