Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+86.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 32,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +68.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +34.5 | -9.3 | -14.7 | -10.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 52% | 16% | 15% | 17% | -4.9 | -0.1 | +3.5 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 17% | 17% | 19% | -1.8 | +5.6 | -0.7 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 46% | 20% | 18% | 16% | -5.4 | +34.8 | -0.8 | -28.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | +34.5 | -20.4 | -8.8 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 73% | 17% | 7% | 3% | -4.0 | +6.6 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 70% | 22% | 5% | 3% | +0.4 | -1.9 | +6.4 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 32,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 72% | 20% | 7% | 2% | -25.9 | +68.4 | -53.3 | +10.8 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 8% | 92% | 0% | 0% | -7.2 | +1.9 | +5.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 1,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 2% | 98% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | +0.8 | -6.5 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +0.3 | +1.6 | +0.2 | -2.1 |