Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -2.2 | -2.9 | -0.6 | +5.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 23% | 24% | 30% | +15.4 | -9.1 | -4.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 34% | 16% | 22% | 28% | -0.5 | +2.1 | -6.2 | +4.6 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 33% | +36.6 | -8.8 | -6.6 | -21.2 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 72% | 9% | 9% | 11% | -19.7 | +21.5 | -3.1 | +1.3 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 22% | 11% | 16% | -9.1 | -22.7 | +44.5 | -12.8 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 6,400 from Uotani Yuumi | 40% | 9% | 42% | 10% | +11.3 | -7.1 | -24.3 | +20.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 62% | 8% | 13% | 18% | +30.7 | -24.1 | -4.6 | -2.0 |