Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -6.0 | -1.8 | +1.0 | +6.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 23% | 24% | 31% | +16.4 | -9.3 | -5.7 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 34% | 18% | 21% | 28% | +1.5 | -0.3 | -2.3 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 18% | 19% | 29% | +34.0 | -9.2 | -8.1 | -16.7 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 71% | 8% | 9% | 12% | -19.5 | +22.7 | -2.7 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 22% | 11% | 16% | -7.2 | -23.0 | +42.2 | -11.9 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 6,400 from Yuumi Uotani | 40% | 8% | 40% | 12% | +11.0 | -6.4 | -23.0 | +18.4 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 63% | 8% | 13% | 16% | +30.1 | -24.3 | -4.6 | -1.2 |