Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/29 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+50.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +61.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -17.9 | +15.4 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 15% | 35% | 24% | 26% | -8.3 | -23.8 | -13.0 | +45.1 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 7,800 | 9% | 13% | 13% | 65% | -6.5 | -7.7 | +19.5 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 6% | 11% | 23% | 60% | -3.3 | +17.7 | -1.5 | -12.9 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 22% | 24% | 47% | +10.8 | -3.3 | -1.6 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 21% | 25% | 43% | -14.7 | -7.3 | +26.9 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 14% | 50% | 33% | +2.7 | -6.6 | +0.7 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 10% | 51% | 36% | +3.0 | -5.2 | +6.0 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 6% | 58% | 31% | +61.7 | -17.8 | -25.4 | -18.4 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 56% | 2% | 24% | 18% | +20.6 | +23.9 | -3.6 | -40.9 |