Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/29 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+50.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +62.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.4 | +14.4 | -0.9 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 15% | 36% | 23% | 26% | -9.5 | -24.2 | -10.5 | +44.1 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 14% | 13% | 64% | -6.8 | -7.5 | +19.6 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 6% | 11% | 25% | 58% | -2.8 | +16.2 | +0.1 | -13.6 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 21% | 26% | 46% | +12.7 | -2.6 | -4.6 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 20% | 25% | 42% | -16.8 | -6.9 | +29.2 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 13% | 53% | 31% | +2.3 | -7.1 | -1.1 | +5.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 9% | 50% | 38% | +2.7 | -3.7 | +5.8 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 7% | 58% | 32% | +62.6 | -19.3 | -25.9 | -17.4 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 57% | 2% | 23% | 18% | +20.3 | +24.7 | -2.6 | -42.3 |