Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/29 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+72.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -1.4 | -3.9 | +0.8 | +4.5 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 23% | 22% | 25% | 31% | -22.0 | -2.1 | +0.1 | +23.9 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 10% | 18% | 22% | 50% | +0.1 | -5.0 | -4.7 | +9.6 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo | 9% | 13% | 17% | 60% | +2.4 | -14.2 | -0.6 | +12.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 6% | 13% | 73% | -11.0 | +33.0 | -8.7 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 22% | 12% | 60% | -9.2 | -5.5 | +12.5 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 17% | 16% | 64% | -7.2 | -20.0 | +42.3 | -15.0 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 3% | 60% | 36% | -5.9 | -8.2 | +32.9 | -18.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -5.0 | -1.7 | -7.5 | +14.2 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -2.0 | +1.2 | +6.9 | -6.1 |