Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/29 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+72.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +40.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -1.4 | -6.3 | +0.7 | +7.0 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 23% | 21% | 26% | 30% | -20.9 | +0.9 | -1.6 | +21.5 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 11% | 20% | 23% | 46% | -0.2 | -6.4 | -4.4 | +11.0 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Kondo Seiichi | 10% | 14% | 17% | 58% | +0.9 | -14.6 | 0.0 | +13.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 7% | 14% | 72% | -10.2 | +32.9 | -8.1 | -14.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 24% | 12% | 57% | -10.0 | -3.8 | +12.4 | +1.3 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 19% | 18% | 62% | -5.8 | -22.6 | +40.7 | -12.4 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 3% | 60% | 36% | -6.1 | -7.7 | +32.8 | -19.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -5.7 | -1.7 | -7.7 | +15.1 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 88% | 12% | -1.6 | +1.1 | +7.4 | -6.9 |