Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+76.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +44.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +12.7 | -8.5 | -2.1 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 34% | 19% | 23% | 24% | -13.5 | +9.7 | +0.9 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -21.4 | -0.1 | +22.4 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 12% | 23% | 40% | 25% | -20.1 | -1.4 | -4.9 | +26.4 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 4% | 18% | 32% | 45% | -0.1 | -0.3 | +26.7 | -26.2 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 16% | 62% | 18% | -11.3 | -7.5 | -4.6 | +23.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 10% | 54% | 35% | -1.4 | +6.0 | -2.1 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Yudai Maehara | 1% | 15% | 51% | 33% | -18.3 | -10.7 | -15.4 | +44.4 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 87% | -1.6 | -2.3 | -10.2 | +14.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.1 | -1.2 | +6.1 | -4.8 |