Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+76.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +11.3 | -9.8 | -3.2 | +1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 31% | 20% | 23% | 26% | -11.5 | +8.6 | +2.2 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -20.8 | -0.3 | +20.6 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 13% | 22% | 39% | 26% | -20.3 | 0.0 | -3.4 | +23.7 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 5% | 20% | 33% | 42% | -1.4 | -1.1 | +27.6 | -25.0 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 15% | 64% | 17% | -11.7 | -6.4 | -6.8 | +24.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 10% | 53% | 36% | -0.6 | +6.6 | -3.8 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 16% | 48% | 36% | -18.5 | -11.4 | -13.4 | +43.2 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 87% | -1.9 | -2.3 | -10.3 | +14.5 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.1 | -1.4 | +6.2 | -4.9 |