Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/30 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +34.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance	Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance	Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance	Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance	Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change	Mari Takamiya Expected pt change	Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change	Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change
East 1	Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya	23%	25%	27%	26%	+32.4	-28.7	-3.6	-0.2
East 1, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	48%	9%	21%	23%	-3.1	+4.7	-1.6	-0.1
East 2, 2 honba	Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000	46%	10%	20%	23%	-2.1	-9.0	+14.9	-3.8
East 3	Exhaustive draw	43%	7%	30%	20%	-1.4	+5.6	-1.9	-2.3
East 4, 1 honba	Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara	44%	8%	29%	19%	-5.9	-4.3	+13.3	-3.2
South 1	Masato Hagiwara ron 1,500 from Mari Takamiya	36%	7%	41%	17%	+2.4	-2.2	-0.2	0.0
South 1, 1 honba	Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori	38%	6%	40%	16%	+2.0	+7.2	+1.4	-10.5
South 2	Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000	40%	8%	41%	11%	-3.3	+8.8	-1.6	-4.0
South 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	38%	12%	41%	10%	-1.6	+5.8	-2.3	-1.9
South 2, 2 honba	Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,900	37%	14%	40%	9%	-7.5	+19.9	-5.1	-7.3
South 2, 3 honba	Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya	30%	27%	35%	8%	+1.2	-23.1	+23.2	-1.4
South 3	Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000	25%	6%	63%	6%	-16.3	-9.6	+34.1	-8.2
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	1%	0%	98%	1%	-0.6	+1.9	-1.0	-0.3
South 4, 2 honba	Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori	0%	0%	99%	1%	-13.2	+31.1	+0.2	-18.0