Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/30 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +34.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance	Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance	Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance	Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance	Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change	Takamiya Mari Expected pt change	Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change	Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change
East 1	Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari	26%	23%	27%	25%	+28.8	-27.7	-1.4	+0.3
East 1, 1 honba	Draw	47%	10%	22%	22%	-3.9	+7.0	-1.8	-1.3
East 2, 2 honba	Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000	45%	12%	21%	22%	-1.6	-9.2	+13.5	-2.7
East 3	Draw	43%	8%	30%	20%	+0.3	+3.4	-3.6	-0.1
East 4, 1 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato	44%	9%	27%	20%	-5.8	-3.5	+13.5	-4.1
South 1	Hagiwara Masato ron 1,500 from Takamiya Mari	38%	7%	38%	17%	+2.4	-2.8	+1.1	-0.7
South 1, 1 honba	Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka	40%	6%	39%	15%	+1.3	+7.3	+1.8	-10.4
South 2	Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000	41%	7%	41%	10%	-1.4	+7.7	-2.0	-4.3
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	40%	10%	40%	10%	-4.5	+7.6	-2.7	-0.4
South 2, 2 honba	Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,900	36%	14%	39%	11%	-5.5	+19.6	-5.0	-9.1
South 2, 3 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari	32%	27%	33%	8%	+0.3	-23.6	+24.7	-1.3
South 3	Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000	25%	7%	62%	5%	-16.5	-9.7	+34.5	-8.3
South 3, 1 honba	Draw	1%	0%	99%	1%	-0.8	+2.7	-1.8	-0.2
South 4, 2 honba	Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	0%	0%	99%	1%	-13.3	+30.2	+0.3	-17.3