Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/1 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +50.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -5.6 | +5.1 | -2.3 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 22% | 26% | 25% | 27% | -1.3 | +32.5 | -28.6 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 54% | 8% | 21% | -4.6 | +1.3 | -0.2 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 54% | 9% | 23% | -1.5 | -6.5 | -6.0 | +14.0 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 48% | 6% | 33% | -1.1 | -2.9 | -5.1 | +9.1 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 12% | 43% | 4% | 41% | -21.1 | +3.6 | +17.0 | +0.5 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 47% | 7% | 41% | +50.4 | -17.2 | -16.9 | -16.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 34% | 32% | 5% | 29% | +13.7 | -2.5 | -6.9 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 27% | 3% | 23% | -7.5 | -0.3 | +8.1 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 41% | 29% | 5% | 25% | -7.0 | -11.0 | -18.5 | +36.6 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 13% | 1% | 62% | +33.8 | -10.4 | -6.7 | -16.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 74% | 3% | 0% | 23% | +14.5 | -4.0 | -0.4 | -10.1 |