Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/2 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +37.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -5.3 | +5.9 | -0.9 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 31% | 24% | 25% | +37.1 | -20.9 | -9.5 | -6.8 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 51% | 13% | 17% | 19% | -1.2 | +25.1 | -22.5 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 47% | 28% | 7% | 18% | +1.4 | -1.8 | +8.0 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 51% | 27% | 10% | 12% | -0.6 | -24.8 | -2.7 | +28.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 51% | 12% | 7% | 29% | +8.9 | -12.9 | +2.4 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 64% | 3% | 8% | 25% | +6.0 | -1.2 | -10.9 | +6.1 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 76% | 0% | 0% | 23% | +7.6 | -13.4 | +15.2 | -9.4 |