Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +29.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -21.4 | -2.5 | +2.1 | +21.8 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 13% | 21% | 25% | 41% | +14.1 | -3.8 | -0.6 | -9.8 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 19% | 26% | 35% | -7.4 | +28.1 | -14.1 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 43% | 15% | 28% | +24.6 | -3.1 | -6.2 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 40% | 13% | 17% | +5.7 | -5.3 | +5.4 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,900 | 36% | 35% | 16% | 14% | +14.7 | -7.6 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 25% | 12% | 12% | -14.3 | -5.6 | -8.3 | +28.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 24% | 10% | 29% | +29.7 | -17.0 | -6.1 | -6.7 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 74% | 5% | 5% | 16% | +18.3 | +10.2 | -3.5 | -25.0 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 7,800 | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | -4.4 | -15.0 | -10.0 | +29.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -2.8 | -0.5 | +0.3 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 89% | 0% | 0% | 11% | -4.0 | +9.0 | -2.5 | -2.6 |