Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -22.3 | +0.4 | +0.7 | +21.3 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 10% | 23% | 26% | 42% | +17.4 | -3.3 | -0.6 | -13.6 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 21% | 26% | 32% | -7.0 | +26.4 | -14.3 | -5.0 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 43% | 15% | 27% | +23.0 | -3.6 | -6.2 | -13.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 28% | 41% | 13% | 18% | +6.3 | -7.0 | +5.5 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,900 | 35% | 34% | 16% | 15% | +13.6 | -4.5 | -4.1 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 27% | 13% | 12% | -14.3 | -6.5 | -8.1 | +28.9 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 24% | 11% | 30% | +31.4 | -16.4 | -7.0 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 73% | 5% | 6% | 16% | +18.8 | +8.6 | -3.6 | -23.8 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 7,800 | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | -5.2 | -15.3 | -9.4 | +29.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -2.8 | -0.4 | -0.5 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 88% | 0% | 0% | 12% | -3.8 | +9.5 | -2.3 | -3.5 |