Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +23.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -3.9 | -2.2 | +6.7 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 23% | 31% | 25% | +0.6 | +5.9 | -4.5 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,900 | 22% | 27% | 27% | 24% | -6.9 | +15.6 | -3.3 | -5.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 17% | 39% | 24% | 20% | -0.9 | -4.5 | +4.0 | +1.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 35% | 27% | 22% | -5.1 | -4.7 | -13.6 | +23.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 30% | 17% | 39% | -2.3 | +3.0 | -2.0 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 12% | 32% | 16% | 40% | -1.6 | -5.5 | +11.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 12% | 29% | 23% | 35% | -19.1 | +0.2 | +18.6 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 27% | 37% | 33% | -2.6 | -4.4 | +5.8 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 20% | 44% | 34% | -3.7 | -7.6 | -5.8 | +17.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 11% | 34% | 55% | +2.5 | -0.4 | -7.4 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 12% | 23% | 64% | +31.5 | -42.8 | -2.6 | +13.9 |