Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +22.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -7.9 | -0.7 | +7.9 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 25% | 29% | 27% | +0.8 | +5.9 | -3.3 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 3,900 | 22% | 29% | 26% | 24% | -6.5 | +13.4 | -2.1 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 38% | 24% | 22% | -0.3 | -5.7 | +5.5 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 33% | 29% | 22% | -4.3 | -4.1 | -13.6 | +22.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 30% | 19% | 37% | -1.9 | +2.9 | -4.5 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 31% | 16% | 40% | -5.7 | -2.9 | +13.6 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 30% | 23% | 35% | -16.5 | -1.7 | +16.3 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 27% | 36% | 35% | -2.1 | -3.7 | +6.8 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 21% | 44% | 33% | -4.8 | -6.9 | -6.4 | +18.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 12% | 32% | 55% | +3.0 | -1.6 | -7.1 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 11% | 22% | 65% | +31.7 | -43.0 | -1.9 | +13.2 |