Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/6 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | -15.6 | -8.8 | +32.9 | -8.6 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 19% | 50% | 18% | +21.0 | -2.0 | +0.9 | -19.9 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 15% | 50% | 10% | -8.0 | -8.9 | -15.2 | +32.1 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 21% | 14% | 36% | 29% | +4.2 | -4.0 | +1.8 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,500 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 11% | 38% | 26% | +4.1 | +2.8 | -2.3 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 28% | 13% | 37% | 22% | +5.6 | -9.1 | +3.5 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 9% | 40% | 21% | -9.6 | -7.6 | -6.3 | +23.6 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 6,400 from Go Kobayashi | 21% | 6% | 32% | 41% | +26.1 | -4.9 | -22.3 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 46% | 1% | 14% | 39% | -16.7 | -2.5 | -5.2 | +24.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 0% | 5% | 81% | -1.1 | -1.9 | -4.4 | +7.4 |