Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/6 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +5.3 | -0.6 | -2.1 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 28% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -26.0 | -1.4 | +25.1 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 22% | 42% | 25% | +3.5 | -3.5 | +4.1 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 13% | 18% | 47% | 22% | +16.2 | -1.8 | -12.9 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 19% | 36% | 22% | -3.3 | -2.6 | +13.6 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 15% | 51% | 15% | +2.3 | -0.8 | +5.6 | -7.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 19% | 14% | 56% | 11% | -1.3 | -8.6 | +3.3 | +6.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 10% | 62% | 12% | -4.2 | +7.1 | +1.6 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 13% | 65% | 10% | +46.8 | -22.3 | -15.9 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 60% | 1% | 33% | 6% | +10.7 | -6.1 | -26.4 | +21.8 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 84% | 0% | 4% | 11% | +9.0 | -3.5 | +7.5 | -12.9 |