Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+48.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -2.3 | -2.8 | -27.6 | +32.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 50% | -12.2 | +34.5 | -10.1 | -12.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 47% | 6% | 36% | -1.4 | -10.0 | +15.5 | -4.1 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,600 from Taro Suzuki | 13% | 40% | 11% | 36% | -7.8 | +8.5 | -1.8 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 9% | 47% | 9% | 35% | -3.2 | +5.2 | +22.4 | -24.4 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 57% | 19% | 16% | -7.3 | +6.4 | +0.4 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 66% | 17% | 14% | +3.9 | +0.5 | -6.2 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 70% | 13% | 14% | -8.4 | +1.7 | -13.1 | +19.8 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 76% | 3% | 20% | +21.8 | -37.2 | -18.0 | +33.4 |