Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 26% | 22% | 26% | 26% | -3.1 | -18.7 | -0.8 | +22.6 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 21% | 12% | 24% | 43% | +1.0 | -10.2 | +10.6 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 7% | 31% | 40% | +15.0 | -5.8 | -8.0 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 32% | 6% | 24% | 38% | +4.3 | +2.4 | -8.1 | +1.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 7% | 18% | 39% | -1.4 | -2.5 | +6.1 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 6% | 22% | 38% | +32.0 | -6.6 | -11.4 | -14.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 70% | 3% | 10% | 18% | +22.5 | -4.6 | -7.8 | -10.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 91% | 1% | 3% | 5% | +4.7 | -1.8 | -0.6 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 94% | 0% | 2% | 4% | +0.1 | -2.6 | +4.3 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 93% | 0% | 3% | 4% | -2.5 | -3.4 | +10.3 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 93% | 1% | 4% | 3% | -0.6 | +4.8 | -2.0 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 94% | 0% | 3% | 2% | -11.3 | -5.1 | -3.1 | +19.4 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | +14.2 | +1.1 | -18.3 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 3% | -7.0 | -4.1 | -5.1 | +16.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 90% | 0% | 0% | 10% | +1.8 | -3.4 | +11.7 | -10.0 |