Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 22% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 0.0 | -24.0 | +0.9 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 21% | 12% | 25% | 42% | +1.4 | -10.9 | +8.0 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 7% | 28% | 43% | +14.8 | -4.9 | -7.4 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 6% | 22% | 40% | +4.5 | +4.3 | -7.9 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 37% | 7% | 18% | 39% | -0.9 | -5.0 | +8.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 5% | 23% | 36% | +32.3 | -6.5 | -13.4 | -12.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 70% | 2% | 9% | 19% | +22.7 | -4.8 | -6.6 | -11.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 1% | 3% | 5% | +3.5 | -0.9 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 1% | 2% | 3% | +2.3 | -2.8 | +3.3 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 95% | 0% | 2% | 3% | -3.7 | -2.8 | +11.3 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 1% | 4% | 2% | -1.9 | +3.7 | -1.6 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 93% | 1% | 4% | 3% | -9.9 | -5.1 | -3.5 | +18.5 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | +13.4 | +1.3 | -18.8 | +4.0 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | -7.3 | -4.2 | -4.5 | +15.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 0% | 0% | 11% | +2.2 | -3.1 | +11.3 | -10.5 |