Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/9 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.2 | +33.0 | -0.8 | -30.0 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 19% | 51% | 22% | 8% | -7.0 | +6.9 | -0.2 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 58% | 20% | 9% | -0.4 | -1.9 | -4.2 | +6.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 58% | 18% | 11% | -2.2 | -0.8 | -4.2 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 58% | 15% | 14% | -1.5 | +11.4 | -3.8 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 73% | 10% | 7% | +5.4 | -3.6 | -2.4 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 67% | 11% | 7% | -17.1 | -2.9 | -8.4 | +28.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 67% | 8% | 21% | +2.9 | +3.0 | +2.6 | -8.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Yudai Maehara | 5% | 71% | 9% | 15% | +9.8 | -0.3 | -2.2 | -7.4 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 74% | 9% | 11% | -9.9 | -5.8 | -21.7 | +37.3 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 65% | 0% | 34% | -21.1 | +12.2 | +29.2 | -20.3 |