Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/9 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -1.9 | +33.3 | +0.3 | -31.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 19% | 50% | 23% | 9% | -6.3 | +6.4 | -2.3 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 56% | 19% | 10% | -1.9 | -0.8 | -4.2 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 58% | 17% | 11% | -1.9 | -0.5 | -5.2 | +7.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 58% | 13% | 16% | -2.2 | +11.0 | -1.4 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 10% | 71% | 11% | 8% | +4.9 | -3.0 | -3.7 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 68% | 11% | 9% | -15.5 | -4.0 | -9.1 | +28.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 5% | 65% | 8% | 23% | +1.3 | +4.7 | +4.2 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Maehara Yudai | 4% | 71% | 9% | 16% | +12.3 | -0.3 | -4.6 | -7.4 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 75% | 8% | 11% | -10.7 | -6.1 | -20.0 | +36.8 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 65% | 0% | 34% | -21.4 | +12.3 | +29.3 | -20.2 |