Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+53.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +21.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -5.7 | +4.5 | +1.2 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 22% | 26% | 26% | 27% | -5.2 | +7.5 | -2.6 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 33% | 24% | 26% | -3.9 | +4.8 | +0.6 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 36% | 23% | 25% | -17.4 | -0.7 | -3.1 | +21.2 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 8% | 33% | 20% | 39% | +0.2 | -2.5 | +12.0 | -9.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 32% | 28% | 32% | +7.9 | -0.5 | -4.8 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 12% | 32% | 25% | 31% | -2.2 | +1.7 | +12.5 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 10% | 34% | 35% | 21% | -17.4 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +16.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 32% | 33% | 33% | -3.3 | -3.8 | +9.1 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 1% | 26% | 43% | 30% | -5.9 | -8.5 | +0.6 | +13.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 16% | 44% | 41% | -1.6 | -6.5 | +3.3 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 10% | 46% | 44% | +2.2 | -5.8 | +0.9 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 0% | 9% | 44% | 47% | +5.1 | -5.2 | -20.6 | +20.8 |