Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+54.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,700, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 22% | 25% | 27% | -12.5 | +26.0 | -4.9 | -8.7 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 16% | 43% | 22% | 19% | +0.6 | -3.6 | +2.2 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 18% | 40% | 22% | 20% | -4.3 | +3.3 | -6.6 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 14% | 44% | 18% | 24% | -2.4 | -11.9 | +13.4 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 32% | 29% | 26% | +6.1 | -3.5 | +2.2 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 31% | 30% | 22% | -15.6 | -4.3 | +22.7 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 24% | 51% | 19% | -3.3 | -12.2 | +20.1 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 7% | 80% | 11% | +33.1 | -6.1 | +2.8 | -29.9 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 6% | 3% | 88% | 3% | +8.1 | -2.4 | +1.8 | -7.6 |