Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+54.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,700, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +21.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -11.8 | +23.9 | -4.6 | -7.5 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 17% | 43% | 20% | 20% | -0.4 | -4.0 | +3.5 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 41% | 22% | 21% | -4.9 | +0.8 | -4.4 | +8.5 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 14% | 41% | 18% | 27% | +0.4 | -9.8 | +11.0 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 16% | 32% | 27% | 25% | +2.5 | -2.6 | +3.3 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 31% | 29% | 24% | -13.0 | -5.3 | +21.9 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 23% | 51% | 19% | -3.8 | -11.3 | +21.0 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 7% | 80% | 10% | +32.5 | -6.7 | +2.4 | -28.1 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 7% | 2% | 88% | 3% | +8.5 | -2.1 | +1.9 | -8.3 |