Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/13 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +66.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -2.2 | +15.8 | -13.7 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 35% | 16% | 27% | -3.7 | -12.4 | +22.0 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 25% | 30% | 23% | -4.9 | +26.2 | -15.0 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 17% | 49% | 17% | 18% | +23.7 | +1.9 | +0.7 | -26.3 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 30% | 49% | 15% | 6% | +0.1 | +6.7 | -7.6 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 27% | 57% | 11% | 5% | -0.8 | -0.3 | +5.7 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 60% | 13% | 4% | -25.1 | -30.1 | +66.8 | -11.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 3% | 11% | 85% | 1% | -0.2 | -3.4 | +6.9 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 5% | 93% | 1% | -5.8 | -6.1 | +16.6 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -2.8 | +2.0 | -10.5 | +11.3 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | +27.3 | -16.5 | -0.9 | -9.8 |