Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +30.8 | -10.3 | -10.2 | -10.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 50% | 16% | 17% | 17% | +2.3 | +2.8 | -6.1 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 53% | 17% | 13% | 17% | -20.7 | -9.8 | +37.8 | -7.3 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 14% | 40% | 14% | -2.2 | -7.3 | +13.4 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 9% | 52% | 11% | +7.7 | -3.3 | -4.3 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 35% | 7% | 47% | 12% | +3.2 | +10.4 | -7.7 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 40% | 12% | 40% | 8% | -30.4 | +26.7 | +4.3 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 27% | 48% | 9% | -2.2 | -2.8 | +7.3 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 13% | 22% | 57% | 8% | +37.6 | -30.2 | -2.1 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 42% | 2% | 51% | 5% | -14.6 | +2.2 | +22.7 | -10.3 |