Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +43.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +7.2 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 31% | 22% | 24% | 23% | -4.5 | -29.5 | 0.0 | +34.1 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 9% | 20% | 50% | -14.3 | +43.3 | -14.3 | -14.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 31% | 15% | 37% | -3.7 | -5.5 | -2.3 | +11.5 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 25% | 13% | 49% | -2.0 | +12.0 | -2.8 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 36% | 11% | 40% | -5.7 | +24.1 | -5.7 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 61% | 6% | 25% | -3.5 | +8.7 | -0.7 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 4% | 74% | 6% | 17% | +1.6 | +22.2 | -23.2 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,200 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 93% | 1% | 6% | -0.3 | -6.3 | -1.1 | +7.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 89% | 1% | 9% | +3.1 | -2.4 | +1.3 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 88% | 1% | 10% | +0.8 | +6.1 | -4.2 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | +34.4 | -1.8 | -4.1 | -28.5 |