Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +6.0 | -1.2 | -2.9 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 29% | 24% | 23% | 24% | -0.9 | -31.7 | -0.2 | +32.8 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 7% | 21% | 48% | -13.8 | +43.4 | -14.8 | -14.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 18% | 30% | 16% | 36% | -6.2 | -4.5 | 0.0 | +10.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 14% | 26% | 14% | 46% | -1.0 | +11.9 | -4.0 | -6.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 36% | 11% | 39% | -7.3 | +23.2 | -4.5 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 8% | 61% | 8% | 24% | -3.6 | +9.0 | -1.9 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 3% | 73% | 6% | 18% | +3.3 | +21.4 | -22.7 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,200 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 92% | 1% | 6% | -0.9 | -5.4 | -2.8 | +9.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 89% | 1% | 10% | +2.7 | -1.0 | +2.0 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 90% | 1% | 9% | +1.5 | +4.9 | -4.6 | -1.8 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | +34.0 | -1.6 | -4.0 | -28.4 |