Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/15 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +50.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -22.7 | +24.3 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 11% | 43% | 23% | 24% | +1.0 | +26.9 | -28.1 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 8% | 67% | 6% | 19% | -0.5 | -3.8 | -21.8 | +26.1 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 59% | 2% | 33% | -4.7 | -11.4 | -11.5 | +27.6 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 36% | 0% | 61% | -3.6 | -0.5 | +9.2 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 37% | 1% | 59% | -3.6 | -1.0 | +2.1 | +2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 35% | 1% | 64% | -2.0 | +6.9 | +0.4 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 44% | 1% | 55% | -13.5 | -13.5 | +25.2 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 30% | 3% | 67% | -2.8 | -8.6 | -3.1 | +14.4 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 92% | -6.4 | +50.6 | -0.6 | -43.6 |