Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

11/15 Game 2

Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +50.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Suzuki Taro● Ooi Takaharu● Kobayashi Go● Setokuma Naoki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Ooi● Kobayashi● Setokuma
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu26%26%25%24%-24.3+22.5+0.1+1.7
East 2Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go12%42%23%24%-0.5+28.3-28.3+0.5
East 2, 1 honbaSetokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go7%68%7%18%+1.8-5.4-22.9+26.5
East 3Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,0006%57%2%35%-5.0-11.5-10.0+26.4
East 4Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,2003%34%1%63%-2.6-1.1+7.1-3.4
South 1Draw3%35%1%62%-4.7-0.1+3.2+1.6
South 2, 1 honbaDraw0%33%1%66%0.0+7.6-2.0-5.5
South 2, 2 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 12,0000%44%1%55%-15.0-13.3+28.0+0.2
South 3Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,0000%32%3%64%-2.6-8.7-4.7+16.1
South 4Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,0000%8%0%92%-6.7+50.5+0.3-44.0

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)