Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/16 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +4.1 | -5.2 | +3.6 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 22% | 27% | 24% | +3.6 | -2.8 | +4.7 | -5.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 29% | 21% | 30% | 20% | -0.4 | -2.5 | -20.2 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 28% | 17% | 18% | 36% | +19.6 | -2.5 | 0.0 | -17.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 46% | 16% | 16% | 22% | -6.3 | +5.2 | +1.8 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 39% | 19% | 19% | 23% | +1.4 | +29.2 | -4.4 | -26.2 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 39% | 39% | 12% | 10% | -4.5 | +33.5 | -28.1 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 21% | 74% | 2% | 3% | -3.6 | +1.2 | +4.0 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 79% | 2% | 3% | -0.4 | +1.2 | +8.8 | -9.6 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 84% | 2% | 2% | -2.3 | +3.5 | -11.3 | +10.0 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 5% | 93% | 0% | 2% | +1.1 | -4.9 | -5.3 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 8% | 88% | 0% | 3% | +2.2 | -8.4 | -1.4 | +7.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 77% | 0% | 7% | -3.2 | +10.2 | +2.7 | -9.6 |