Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/16 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+77.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -0.7 | -0.4 | -1.1 | +2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 23% | 24% | 24% | 28% | -11.9 | +0.8 | -0.1 | +11.2 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 24% | 24% | 36% | -4.5 | +24.0 | -13.6 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 13% | 43% | 15% | 29% | -17.9 | +23.1 | +1.0 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 68% | 10% | 17% | +2.2 | -2.0 | -2.1 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 9,600 | 6% | 65% | 10% | 19% | +26.6 | -4.9 | -10.4 | -11.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 61% | 8% | 15% | +13.1 | -7.6 | -2.2 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 52% | 8% | 15% | +38.6 | -17.9 | -10.3 | -10.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 66% | 24% | 4% | 6% | +32.4 | -15.7 | -7.3 | -9.3 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Draw | 94% | 4% | 1% | 1% | +2.3 | -5.4 | +1.8 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 95% | 3% | 1% | 2% | -5.0 | -6.2 | -9.5 | +20.7 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 94% | 3% | 0% | 3% | +1.4 | -11.4 | -0.9 | +10.8 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 7,800 | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | -2.6 | -7.0 | +13.4 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,900 | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | -1.4 | -4.9 | +10.3 | -4.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | +1.3 | +8.0 | -5.3 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +4.4 | +23.5 | -10.9 | -16.9 |