Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

11/16 Game 2

Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+77.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +38.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Katsumata Kenji● Kobayashi Go● Takamiya Mari● Uotani Yuumi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Katsumata● Kobayashi● Takamiya● Uotani
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKatsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%24%25%26%-0.7-0.4-1.1+2.3
East 2, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji23%24%24%28%-11.9+0.8-0.1+11.2
East 3Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,00016%24%24%36%-4.5+24.0-13.6-5.9
East 4Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji13%43%15%29%-17.9+23.1+1.0-6.1
South 1Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,5005%68%10%17%+2.2-2.0-2.1+1.8
South 1, 1 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 9,6006%65%10%19%+26.6-4.9-10.4-11.2
South 1, 2 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 3,00016%61%8%15%+13.1-7.6-2.2-3.3
South 1, 3 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 12,00025%52%8%15%+38.6-17.9-10.3-10.4
South 1, 4 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 18,00066%24%4%6%+32.4-15.7-7.3-9.3
South 1, 5 honbaDraw94%4%1%1%+2.3-5.4+1.8+1.4
South 1, 6 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 5,20095%3%1%2%-5.0-6.2-9.5+20.7
South 2Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go94%3%0%3%+1.4-11.4-0.9+10.8
South 3Takamiya Mari tsumo 7,80096%0%1%3%-2.6-7.0+13.4-3.8
South 3, 1 honbaTakamiya Mari tsumo 3,90096%0%1%3%-1.4-4.9+10.3-4.1
South 3, 2 honbaKobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi96%0%1%3%+1.3+8.0-5.3-4.0
South 4Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi98%0%0%2%+4.4+23.5-10.9-16.9

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)