Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/19 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +36.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.1 | -14.5 | +17.0 | +3.6 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 21% | 17% | 36% | 26% | +1.0 | -2.8 | +11.8 | -9.9 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 13% | 48% | 20% | +36.3 | -5.5 | -23.7 | -7.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 10% | 23% | 15% | +28.9 | -6.7 | -6.5 | -15.8 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 3% | 10% | 4% | -6.8 | +22.3 | -5.3 | -10.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 79% | 10% | 9% | 3% | +3.7 | -5.4 | -3.7 | +5.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 88% | 2% | 7% | 4% | +1.7 | +0.2 | -8.8 | +6.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 94% | 1% | 0% | 6% | +5.8 | +13.2 | -0.8 | -18.2 |