Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -4.7 | +1.3 | +6.0 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 27% | 28% | 25% | +0.8 | +4.7 | -8.7 | +3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 30% | 22% | 26% | -18.4 | +50.2 | -15.5 | -16.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 7% | 74% | 9% | 9% | -9.8 | -18.4 | +38.9 | -10.6 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 55% | 31% | 9% | -2.2 | +2.7 | -2.3 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 5% | 59% | 28% | 8% | -0.2 | +0.4 | -9.1 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 6% | 60% | 22% | 12% | +21.5 | +2.6 | +0.7 | -24.7 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 65% | 21% | 3% | -6.6 | +0.1 | +9.4 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 66% | 26% | 3% | +18.9 | -17.4 | -0.1 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 18% | 47% | 31% | 4% | -2.5 | -7.9 | +9.9 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,900 | 17% | 35% | 44% | 4% | -11.0 | -8.0 | +21.6 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 19% | 73% | 2% | -6.4 | +39.2 | -28.0 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 78% | 20% | 1% | -1.2 | -32.4 | +42.3 | -8.7 |