Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/20 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +51.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +0.1 | -0.5 | -1.8 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -1.6 | -3.3 | -1.5 | +6.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 21% | 24% | 32% | -16.8 | -15.8 | +51.5 | -18.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 9% | 8% | 69% | 14% | +2.2 | +2.7 | +21.5 | -26.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 5% | 5% | 88% | 3% | -1.9 | -1.0 | -15.8 | +18.7 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 7% | 8% | 76% | 9% | +1.2 | 0.0 | +3.8 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 6% | 82% | 6% | -9.1 | +13.1 | -1.0 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 2% | 9% | 84% | 5% | +6.6 | -3.6 | +0.7 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 4% | 90% | 5% | +5.3 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -4.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 1% | 1% | 94% | 4% | -4.1 | +15.6 | +0.6 | -12.0 |