Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/20 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +47.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -0.7 | -13.6 | +0.9 | +13.3 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 22% | 16% | 26% | 36% | -1.7 | +31.1 | -30.7 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 35% | 10% | 35% | -1.2 | -5.2 | +7.9 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 32% | 13% | 35% | -0.8 | -0.2 | -5.6 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 21% | 29% | 10% | 40% | -1.5 | -17.5 | +19.6 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 20% | 19% | 41% | -6.9 | -2.8 | +6.5 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 13% | 18% | 22% | 47% | -10.0 | -4.5 | +8.7 | +5.9 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000 | 9% | 12% | 26% | 53% | -9.2 | -2.3 | -35.9 | +47.4 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -14.2 | +13.5 | +2.3 | -1.6 |