Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/20 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 23% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 0.0 | -13.3 | -0.4 | +13.6 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 23% | 18% | 25% | 35% | +0.7 | +28.6 | -29.8 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 34% | 9% | 35% | -3.2 | -0.1 | +5.1 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 35% | 12% | 33% | -1.9 | -3.4 | -3.5 | +8.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 19% | 32% | 9% | 41% | -2.1 | -17.2 | +19.8 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 20% | 19% | 43% | -6.9 | -2.7 | +6.9 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 13% | 18% | 22% | 47% | -9.3 | -3.9 | +7.8 | +5.3 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000 | 9% | 13% | 26% | 53% | -7.9 | -4.1 | -36.3 | +48.3 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -15.1 | +14.1 | +2.8 | -1.8 |