Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 23% | 27% | 27% | +18.5 | -4.0 | -6.1 | -8.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 37% | 21% | 22% | 21% | -24.6 | +23.5 | -0.7 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 38% | 22% | 22% | -2.0 | -6.0 | -3.4 | +11.5 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 31% | 20% | 30% | -5.4 | -5.5 | -11.4 | +22.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 14% | 26% | 12% | 49% | -1.9 | +8.4 | -8.2 | +1.8 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 11% | 31% | 8% | 51% | +41.5 | -37.1 | -2.4 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,900 | 40% | 8% | 6% | 46% | +15.5 | -2.9 | -5.0 | -7.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 6% | 4% | 33% | -4.2 | -9.9 | +13.2 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 55% | 4% | 7% | 35% | -0.3 | -8.9 | +7.5 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 55% | 0% | 9% | 35% | -28.9 | -1.6 | -3.8 | +34.3 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 0% | 1% | 93% | -21.7 | -5.0 | +31.2 | -4.5 |