Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +17.4 | -3.9 | -8.1 | -5.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 38% | 22% | 19% | 21% | -24.4 | +20.2 | +3.5 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 36% | 22% | 22% | -4.9 | -5.0 | -2.5 | +12.4 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 32% | 22% | 30% | -3.1 | -4.7 | -14.8 | +22.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 13% | 26% | 11% | 50% | -1.0 | +7.2 | -6.8 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 12% | 29% | 8% | 51% | +42.9 | -37.3 | -1.2 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,900 | 42% | 8% | 7% | 43% | +12.6 | -1.7 | -4.5 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 7% | 5% | 31% | -3.3 | -8.1 | +11.2 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 55% | 5% | 7% | 33% | +1.2 | -10.8 | +6.2 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 57% | 1% | 8% | 35% | -30.3 | -1.5 | -2.5 | +34.4 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 0% | 1% | 93% | -21.8 | -5.4 | +31.5 | -4.4 |