Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,200 from Suzuki Taro | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -12.2 | -1.2 | +13.8 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 24% | 33% | 26% | -1.9 | -3.2 | -1.6 | +6.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 16% | 21% | 32% | 31% | +30.4 | +0.7 | -27.5 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 38% | 21% | 14% | 27% | +4.2 | -1.5 | -0.5 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,000 | 43% | 20% | 14% | 23% | -3.1 | +4.4 | -2.8 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 23% | 13% | 26% | -6.4 | -17.9 | -8.0 | +32.3 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 7% | 7% | 59% | +2.4 | -0.4 | +50.1 | -52.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 10% | 41% | 14% | +35.4 | -4.9 | -20.3 | -10.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 86% | 1% | 6% | 7% | -1.7 | -9.4 | -2.3 | +13.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 83% | 1% | 6% | 10% | +7.6 | -9.4 | +8.8 | -7.0 |