Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -14.3 | +0.7 | +10.0 | +3.7 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 26% | 33% | 25% | -0.4 | -5.9 | -0.6 | +7.0 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 16% | 20% | 32% | 31% | +28.8 | -0.4 | -27.2 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 36% | 20% | 15% | 30% | +6.8 | -2.7 | +0.6 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,000 | 43% | 17% | 15% | 25% | -3.1 | +7.6 | -3.6 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 22% | 14% | 24% | -7.6 | -18.2 | -8.5 | +34.3 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 27% | 7% | 8% | 59% | +4.3 | -0.7 | +49.8 | -53.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 9% | 41% | 14% | +35.8 | -5.1 | -20.3 | -10.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 1% | 5% | 6% | -2.8 | -10.1 | -2.3 | +15.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori | 84% | 1% | 5% | 10% | +7.0 | -8.3 | +8.6 | -7.3 |