Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

11/23 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +36.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Go Kobayashi● Takaharu Ooi● Saki Kurosawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Yuumi● Go● Takaharu● Saki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi26%25%25%24%-21.7+18.8+0.8+2.1
East 2Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi12%39%25%24%+19.7-21.8-0.2+2.3
East 3Saki Kurosawa tsumo 3,00025%22%25%28%-3.6-2.3+9.8-3.9
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 4,00021%22%33%24%-2.9+20.2-8.7-8.7
East 4Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,00019%36%25%20%-12.2-12.5-12.0+36.8
East 4, 1 honbaSaki Kurosawa tsumo 12,00012%25%16%48%-8.2-9.9+38.5-20.4
South 1Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi9%17%47%27%-17.0+13.3+1.9+1.8
South 2Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi2%23%48%27%-1.9-5.4+7.7-0.5
South 3Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi1%16%59%24%-10.9-8.7-7.0+26.6
South 4Exhaustive draw0%6%43%50%+2.9-6.3-15.9+19.3

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)