Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/23 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +41.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,900 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +10.0 | -4.4 | -1.6 | -4.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 32% | 22% | 22% | 23% | -15.3 | -0.6 | +1.6 | +14.3 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 22% | 24% | 33% | +4.0 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 24% | 18% | 24% | 34% | +4.2 | +12.6 | -18.5 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 27% | 12% | 35% | -5.3 | -0.9 | -0.8 | +7.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 26% | 12% | 41% | +41.0 | -8.0 | -10.1 | -23.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 17% | 7% | 17% | -2.0 | +6.0 | -3.4 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 58% | 19% | 6% | 17% | -8.8 | +11.4 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 48% | 29% | 6% | 18% | -45.4 | +41.9 | +2.8 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 4% | 81% | 4% | 11% | +22.3 | +0.7 | -18.7 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 83% | 1% | 7% | -1.2 | +9.4 | -6.1 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 94% | 0% | 4% | +12.1 | +0.8 | -1.6 | -11.3 |