Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/23 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +10.7 | -1.7 | -3.8 | -5.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 32% | 24% | 22% | 22% | -17.0 | -0.9 | +1.1 | +16.7 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 24% | 24% | 33% | +8.0 | -6.2 | -2.2 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 17% | 23% | 35% | -1.5 | +16.0 | -15.5 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 28% | 13% | 35% | +0.5 | -4.0 | -0.9 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 12% | 39% | +39.9 | -9.1 | -9.8 | -21.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 62% | 15% | 6% | 16% | -2.8 | +6.2 | -3.8 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 60% | 17% | 6% | 17% | -10.5 | +12.2 | 0.0 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 46% | 29% | 7% | 18% | -44.6 | +42.6 | +1.0 | +1.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 80% | 5% | 12% | +23.0 | -1.9 | -18.7 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 78% | 2% | 10% | -2.5 | +11.2 | -5.6 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 93% | 0% | 6% | +12.5 | +1.4 | -1.6 | -12.2 |