Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +46.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -3.3 | -1.4 | +4.3 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 23% | 29% | 27% | +11.6 | -11.8 | +1.5 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 16% | 29% | 25% | -4.3 | -2.0 | -9.7 | +16.0 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 27% | 15% | 20% | 37% | -23.9 | -0.3 | +25.3 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 13% | 41% | 34% | -6.7 | -4.0 | -0.9 | +11.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 6% | 11% | 38% | 45% | -1.8 | -5.9 | +8.8 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 4% | 5% | 49% | 42% | +17.8 | -7.4 | -23.2 | +12.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 4% | 16% | 68% | -7.8 | -9.0 | +46.3 | -29.5 |