Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -3.1 | -4.2 | +6.9 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 23% | 31% | 27% | +12.0 | -10.2 | -0.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 15% | 29% | 26% | -4.1 | -1.9 | -9.2 | +15.3 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 15% | 22% | 37% | -22.1 | -1.8 | +24.6 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 13% | 12% | 41% | 33% | -8.0 | -2.2 | -0.4 | +10.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 7% | 11% | 39% | 43% | -2.0 | -5.4 | +8.0 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 5% | 4% | 49% | 42% | +16.4 | -7.1 | -22.1 | +12.8 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 5% | 18% | 66% | -7.1 | -9.4 | +45.3 | -28.8 |