Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/27 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -7.6 | -1.0 | -0.9 | +9.5 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 24% | 23% | 33% | +22.3 | -12.5 | -6.0 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 36% | 16% | 20% | 29% | +26.4 | +1.3 | -24.4 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 61% | 11% | 6% | 22% | +14.3 | -2.6 | -9.9 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 78% | 7% | 2% | 13% | -0.4 | +1.9 | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 80% | 7% | 2% | 11% | +12.2 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -10.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 94% | 1% | 1% | 4% | +3.0 | -1.6 | +1.4 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 96% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +3.9 | +5.4 | -9.1 | -0.2 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,500 from Takamiya Mari | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -0.3 | -13.2 | +0.1 | +13.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -2.6 | +3.1 | -2.0 | +1.5 |