Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/27 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -9.4 | -0.7 | -1.6 | +11.7 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 25% | 24% | 32% | +24.2 | -14.0 | -6.2 | -4.1 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 36% | 14% | 20% | 30% | +25.9 | +1.5 | -24.7 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 62% | 12% | 5% | 21% | +15.2 | -2.8 | -10.5 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 7% | 2% | 12% | -2.8 | +2.7 | +1.8 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 77% | 8% | 3% | 12% | +14.0 | -1.9 | -1.8 | -10.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 0% | 1% | 4% | +2.9 | -1.3 | +0.7 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | +3.8 | +6.1 | -8.9 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,500 from Mari Takamiya | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -0.4 | -13.1 | +0.2 | +13.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -2.5 | +2.5 | -2.1 | +2.0 |