Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/27 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -17.3 | -7.7 | -11.1 | +36.2 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 17% | 18% | 52% | -8.5 | +31.7 | -10.5 | -12.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 9% | 41% | 12% | 38% | -20.5 | -2.5 | +21.9 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 37% | 22% | 38% | -9.2 | +12.9 | -3.6 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 47% | 16% | 35% | +3.9 | -3.2 | +1.3 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 45% | 17% | 35% | +25.8 | -35.1 | +2.6 | +6.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 19% | 22% | 49% | -17.9 | -11.0 | +39.6 | -10.7 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 8% | 63% | 28% | +11.1 | -17.5 | +4.6 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 1% | 71% | 26% | +3.9 | -20.0 | +22.5 | -6.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -10.4 | +16.4 | -5.4 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -10.1 | +9.8 | +3.5 | -3.2 |