Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/27 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -18.8 | -7.7 | -6.3 | +32.8 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 18% | 19% | 52% | -8.2 | +28.9 | -9.9 | -10.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 9% | 39% | 14% | 39% | -19.2 | -1.8 | +20.8 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 35% | 23% | 39% | -8.4 | +14.2 | -4.2 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 48% | 16% | 35% | +2.7 | -4.3 | +0.3 | +1.3 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 44% | 17% | 37% | +24.3 | -34.5 | +3.8 | +6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 18% | 23% | 50% | -16.5 | -9.9 | +39.8 | -13.4 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 9% | 62% | 27% | +11.3 | -19.2 | +4.4 | +3.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 1% | 71% | 27% | +4.5 | -19.7 | +22.2 | -7.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -10.1 | +16.2 | -5.0 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -10.8 | +10.4 | +3.7 | -3.3 |