Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +10.4 | +0.3 | -0.5 | -10.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 25% | 24% | 20% | +1.6 | -1.5 | -3.9 | +3.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 34% | 23% | 22% | 22% | -1.0 | +8.8 | +0.7 | -8.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 29% | 23% | 16% | -8.5 | +1.8 | +2.9 | +3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 30% | 25% | 19% | -2.3 | -9.6 | -3.1 | +14.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 24% | 22% | 30% | -30.4 | -0.2 | +31.8 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 8% | 20% | 47% | 25% | +14.4 | +0.4 | +0.7 | -15.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 20% | 49% | 16% | -4.7 | -3.1 | +3.2 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 18% | 52% | 19% | -5.2 | -4.9 | +23.7 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 5% | 9% | 79% | 6% | -5.5 | -0.6 | +2.9 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 2% | 8% | 85% | 5% | +0.3 | -25.9 | +1.1 | +24.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 87% | 12% | -8.2 | +8.1 | +0.2 | -0.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -1.7 | -2.1 | -1.9 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -0.5 | -0.3 | -14.3 | +15.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 69% | 31% | -0.5 | -1.3 | -17.3 | +19.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 70% | -10.1 | +3.0 | +43.5 | -36.4 |