Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 24% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +11.3 | -0.1 | +0.2 | -11.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 24% | 25% | 19% | +1.4 | -1.3 | -3.9 | +3.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 33% | 24% | 23% | 20% | -3.4 | +11.0 | -0.9 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 30% | 31% | 22% | 18% | -5.8 | -1.8 | +2.6 | +5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 29% | 23% | 22% | -0.6 | -6.8 | -3.8 | +11.2 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 24% | 22% | 28% | -32.0 | -0.6 | +33.6 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 9% | 21% | 47% | 24% | +14.3 | -1.4 | +1.3 | -14.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 15% | 20% | 49% | 16% | -5.0 | -2.6 | +2.3 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 19% | 51% | 18% | -5.0 | -6.3 | +23.9 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 6% | 9% | 78% | 7% | -5.5 | +0.8 | +3.4 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 7% | 86% | 6% | +0.1 | -26.3 | +1.6 | +24.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 88% | 11% | -7.1 | +8.6 | -0.1 | -1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -2.0 | -2.3 | -3.3 | +7.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 88% | 12% | -0.8 | -0.7 | -14.1 | +15.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 68% | 32% | -1.1 | -1.1 | -15.9 | +18.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 69% | -9.8 | +3.1 | +42.6 | -36.0 |