Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+52.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -2.2 | +0.9 | +32.7 | -31.4 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 22% | 50% | 8% | -6.4 | -19.3 | -4.7 | +30.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 12% | 47% | 24% | -2.5 | +6.8 | -1.5 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 16% | 46% | 23% | +40.5 | -8.9 | -10.2 | -21.3 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 48% | 10% | 33% | 9% | -4.1 | -23.4 | -1.1 | +28.5 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 43% | 3% | 31% | 23% | +2.6 | -5.2 | +6.0 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 45% | 0% | 35% | 19% | -10.1 | +4.2 | +35.4 | -29.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 0% | 81% | 3% | +2.5 | -1.6 | -4.8 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 0% | 79% | 3% | -0.9 | +0.7 | -3.2 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 6,400 from Ken Sonoda | 20% | 0% | 75% | 5% | -7.2 | +26.2 | +3.5 | -22.6 |