Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+52.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -2.3 | -0.6 | +31.8 | -28.9 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 21% | 50% | 10% | -5.8 | -17.3 | -3.0 | +26.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 12% | 50% | 21% | -1.0 | +5.8 | -4.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 15% | 46% | 22% | +39.0 | -9.1 | -9.2 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 48% | 10% | 33% | 9% | -4.9 | -22.1 | -2.6 | +29.6 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 42% | 4% | 30% | 24% | +4.3 | -6.0 | +6.9 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 47% | 1% | 34% | 18% | -10.8 | +4.0 | +35.6 | -28.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 0% | 80% | 3% | +3.1 | -0.8 | -4.9 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 19% | 0% | 78% | 3% | -1.5 | -0.2 | -3.1 | +4.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 6,400 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 0% | 74% | 5% | -7.3 | +26.5 | +3.8 | -23.0 |