Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -11.5 | -7.3 | +22.9 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 19% | 43% | 21% | -2.5 | +8.7 | -4.1 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 24% | 38% | 22% | -1.9 | -2.8 | +4.8 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 21% | 44% | 21% | +3.0 | -0.5 | +2.1 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori | 16% | 21% | 46% | 18% | +2.5 | +0.2 | -19.7 | +17.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 24% | 28% | 30% | +7.1 | +0.7 | +0.9 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 24% | 29% | 23% | -6.0 | +7.9 | -2.1 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 17% | 31% | 28% | 24% | -0.5 | +32.8 | -1.9 | -30.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 63% | 20% | 5% | -1.2 | +0.5 | -2.8 | +3.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 66% | 17% | 7% | -15.2 | +2.7 | -24.1 | +36.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 77% | 3% | 17% | -14.0 | +11.3 | +5.8 | -3.2 |