Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Asakura Koshin ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -12.5 | -5.0 | +23.0 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 20% | 41% | 20% | -3.1 | +8.1 | -3.5 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 15% | 26% | 39% | 20% | -0.6 | -4.0 | +6.0 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 22% | 45% | 19% | +3.0 | -0.4 | +1.2 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 16% | 21% | 46% | 17% | -1.6 | +2.5 | -19.6 | +18.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 24% | 28% | 31% | +10.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 28% | 22% | -4.0 | +7.9 | -0.5 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 20% | 29% | 29% | 22% | -1.7 | +32.3 | -3.4 | -27.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 11% | 64% | 19% | 6% | -1.3 | -1.0 | -2.1 | +4.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 66% | 17% | 7% | -14.3 | +2.6 | -24.2 | +35.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 75% | 3% | 17% | -15.2 | +12.6 | +5.6 | -3.0 |