Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +1.9 | +0.2 | -2.5 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +5.2 | -2.8 | -2.6 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 28% | 24% | 22% | 26% | -1.1 | -0.6 | +31.3 | -29.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,200 | 24% | 20% | 46% | 10% | -0.9 | +11.6 | -7.0 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 29% | 38% | 9% | -0.8 | +4.5 | +1.4 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 23% | 32% | 39% | 5% | -27.4 | -1.8 | +27.7 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 3% | 21% | 72% | 3% | +1.9 | +38.7 | -39.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 3% | 75% | 19% | 3% | -8.1 | -17.1 | +3.4 | +21.8 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 59% | 26% | 11% | -2.7 | +15.7 | -8.2 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 85% | 8% | 7% | -15.6 | +14.4 | +2.6 | -1.3 |