Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.3 | +1.2 | -2.3 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | +7.9 | -1.5 | -4.2 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 28% | 25% | 21% | 26% | -1.9 | -1.1 | +32.4 | -29.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,200 | 25% | 21% | 44% | 10% | -2.3 | +9.6 | -3.8 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 27% | 41% | 9% | -0.7 | +4.9 | +0.5 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 22% | 31% | 41% | 6% | -24.6 | -0.4 | +25.9 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 3% | 22% | 71% | 4% | -0.6 | +39.5 | -40.4 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 3% | 77% | 16% | 4% | -6.8 | -19.6 | +3.9 | +22.5 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 57% | 26% | 13% | -4.7 | +17.1 | -6.6 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 84% | 8% | 8% | -14.5 | +14.3 | +2.5 | -2.3 |